La crisis de la deuda soberana europea (2009-2010): el papel de la confianza y otros factores sociales
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.20932/barataria.v0i12.127Palabras clave:
Crisis financiera, eurozona, crisis deuda soberana, GreciaResumen
En el presente trabajo analizo la segunda fase de la actual crisis financiera o los acontecimientos que conmocionaron a las economías europeas en el período 2009-2010. Estos hechos tuvieron el punto de inicio con la declaración sobre Grecia en octubre de 2009 en la que se decía que el déficit sería mucho mayor de lo que había sido anunciado previamente, y que culminó en la crisis de mayo de 2010, cuando la UE creo un fondo de un trillón de dólares con el fin de tranquilizar a los mercados. Actualmente, la crisis sigue su curso (aunque aquí se trata hasta noviembre de 2010). La crisis de la deuda soberana europea es principalmente analizada con la ayuda de la teoría sociológica de la confianza. El argumento es (basándome en Bagehot) que las crisis financieras pueden ser desencadenadas por la revelación súbita de pérdidas ocultas - en este caso (como trato de documentar) la divulgación de Grecia.Descargas
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Merton, R. K. (1968). “The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy”, in Social Theory and Social Structure. Enlarged ed. New York: The Free Press, pp. 475-490.
Olson, M. (1990). “Interview”, in R. Swedberg, Economics and Sociology. Princeton: Princeton University Press, pp. 167-185.
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Reinhart, C. and Reinhart, V. (2010). “After the Fall”. Paper presented at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Policy Symposium, Macroeconomic Policy: Post-Crisis and Risks Ahead at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on August 26-28, 2010. Downloaded on August 28, 2010 from the web: http://terpconnect.umd.edu/~creinhar/Papers/AftertheFall_August_27_NBER.pdf .
Reinhart, C. and Rogoff, K. (2010). This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Romer, Ch. (2010). “Now Isn’t the Time to Cut the Deficit”, New York Times October 24: BU5.
Simmel, G. (1978). The Philosophy of Money. London: Routledge.
Soros, G. (2009). The Crash of 2008 and What It Means. New York: Public Affairs.
Soros, G. (2010a). “The Real Danger to the Economy”, New York Review of Books November 11:16.
Soros, G. (2010b). "The Sovereign Debt Problem". Lecture given at Columbia University on October 5. Message from Georg Soros Foundation: 2009 GeorgeSoros.com .
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Altman, D. (2009). “The Network: How a Map Can Prevent the Next Financial Crisis”, The Nation October 9. Downloaded on September 2, 2010 from the web: http://www.tnr.com/article /economy/the-network?page=0,1 .
Bagehot, W. (1922). Lombard Street: A Description of the Money Market. London: John Murray.
Baker, L. (2010). “Timeline: The EU’s $ 1 Trillion Rescue: How It Happened: Reuters, Downloaded on August 25 from the web: http://in.biz.yahoo.com/100510/137/bavkaq.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter .
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Bananuch, J. (2010). “The Constitutionalization of Money”, Cato Journal 30, 2 (Spring-Summer): 251-258.
Barber, T. (2010a). “A Tent to Attend To”, Financial Times June 17. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/49b000ae-79a7-11df-85be-00144feabdc0.html .
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Barber, T. (2010c). “Saving the Euro, I: Dinner on the Edge of the Abyss”, Financial Times, October 11:7.
Barber, T. (2010d). “Saving the Euro, II: Tall Ambition, Flawed Foundations”, Financial Times, October 12:9.
Barber, T. (2010e). “Saving the Euro, III: Bound Towards a Tense Future”, Financial Times, October 13:9.
Barber, T. (2009). “Greece Vows Action to Cut Budget Deficit”, Financial Times October 20. Downloaded on August 26 from the web: http://www.miamieuc.org/pdf/greece_edited.pdf .
BBC News (2004). “Greece Admits Fudging Euro Entry”. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4012869.stm .
Charlemagne. (2010). May 9, 2010, “The Euro Crisis: Glimmers of a Plan for Saving the Euro”, The Economist May 9. Downloaded on August 24, 2010 from the web: http://www.economist.com/blogs/charlemagne/2010/05/euro_crisis_1 .
Davis, A. and Ross-Thomas, E. (2010). “Merkel Vows Faster Greek Aid as Spain Shows Contagion”, Bloomberg Businessweek. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-04-28/merkel-vows-faster-greek-aid-as-spain-shows-contagion-update1-.html .
De Gruyter, C. (2009). “Brussels Knew about Staggering Greek Budget Deficit in July”, NRC Handelsblad December 20. Downloaded on August 26, 2010 from the web: http://www.nrc.nl/international/article2442172.ece/Brussels_knew_about_staggering_Greek_budget_deficit_in_July .
Delors, J. (2010). “[Interview:] ‘Just Trust Europe!’”, The German Times June 2010, p. 3.
Eatwell, J. and Taylor, L. (2000). Global Finance at Risk: The Case for International Regulation. Cambridge: Polity Press.
Euractiv.com. (2010). “Merkel Wants Scope to Expel Eurozone Troublemakers” March 18. Downloaded on August 26, 2010 from the web: http://www.euractiv.com/en/priorities/merkel-wants-scope-expel- Eurozone-troublemakers-news-354178 .
European Commission (2010). Report on Greek Government Deficit and Debt Statistics. January 8. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/COM_2010_REPORT_GREEK/EN/COM_2010_REPORT_GREEK-EN.PDF .
Eurostat Newsrelease (2010a). Euro Area and EU27 Government Deficit at 6.3% and 6.8% of GDP Respectively. Issue 55/2010. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/2-22042010-BP/EN/2-22042010-BP-EN.PDF .
Eurostat Newsrelease (2010b). Euro Area and EU27 Government Deficit at 6.3% and 6.8% of GDP Respectively. Issue 170/2010. Downloaded on November 15, 2010 from http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/2-15112010-AP/EN/2-15112010-AP-EN.PDF .
Gow, D. and Chrisafis, A. (2008). Oct 6, 2008: “German deposits guarantee blows hole in EU's action plan”, The Guardian October 6. Downloaded on November 29, 2010 from the web: http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/oct/06/europe.germany .
Hume, N. (2010). “Stopping the Wolfpack”, Financal Times May 9. Downloaded on August 24, 2010 from the web: http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2010/05/09/224426/stopping-the-wolfpack/ .
IMF (2010). Euro Area Policies. Staff Report for the 2010 Article IV Consultation with Member Countries. July 1, 2010. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://www.imf.org/ external/pubs/ft/scr/2010/cr10221.pdf .
Juko, S. (2010). “Have the Media Made the Greek Crisis Worse? An Inquiry into the Credit Crisis of the State”, Economic Sociology - The European Electronic Newsletter 12,2: 28-41.
Kassenaar, L. and Deen, M. (2010). “France’s Power Broker”, Bloomberg Markets, August: 45-48.
Katz, A. and Martinuzzi, E. (2010). “EU Probes Greek Deals as 400% Yield Gap Shows Doubt” September 8, Bloomberg News. Downloaded on September 8 from the web: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-07/greek-debt-deals-hidden-from-eu-probed-as-400-yield-gap-shows-bond-ubts.html .
Keene, T. (2010). “Roubini Pessimistic on Euro Area, Calls Spain a Risk”, Bloomberg News, January 27. Downloaded on August 24, 2010 from the web: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aVW11LBGT.08 .
Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. London: Macmillan.
Kitsantonis, N. and Saltmarsh, M. (2010). “Greece, Out of Ideas, Requests Global Aid”, New York Times April 23. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from http://www.nytimes.com/2010/04/24/business/global/24drachma.html .
Krugman, P. (2010a). “Myths of Austerity”, New York Times July 1. Downloaded from the web on October 22, 2010: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/02/opinion/02krugman.html .
Krugman, P. (2010b). “British fashion Victims”, New York Times, October 22:A25.
Kulish, N. and Bowley, G. (2008). “Facing a Financial Crisis, European Nations Put Self-Interest First”, New York Times October 7. Downloaded from the web on November 29, 2010: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/08/world/europe/08unity.html .
Martinuzzi, E. and Katz, A. (2010).“Bloomberg Sues ECB to Force Disclosure of Greece Swaps”. Bloomberg News December 22. Downloaded on December 23, 2010 from http://www.bloom
berg.com/news/2010-12-22/bloomberg-sues-ecb-to-force-disclosure-of-greece-swap-documents.html .
Merton, R. K. (1968). “The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy”, in Social Theory and Social Structure. Enlarged ed. New York: The Free Press, pp. 475-490.
Olson, M. (1990). “Interview”, in R. Swedberg, Economics and Sociology. Princeton: Princeton University Press, pp. 167-185.
Otmar, I. and Krahnen, J. (2009). ”Why the regulators Must have a Global ’Risk Map’”, Financial Times February 18. Downloaded from the web: http://www.rediff.com/money/2009/feb/20bcrisis-why-the-regulators-must-have-a-global-risk-map.htm .
Petrakis, M. (2010a). “Greece Says Bonds Now an ‘Opportunity’ as Budget Deficit Falls’. Bloomberg News September 9. Downloaded from the web on September 9: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-09/greece-says-its-bonds-now-investment-opportunity-as-budget-deficit-falls.html .
Petrakis, M. (2010b). “Greece's Deficit Revised to Largest in EU as Debt Tops Italy's”, Bloomberg News, November 15. Downloaded on November 15, 2010 from the web: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-11-15/greece-s-deficit-revised-to-largest-in-eu-as-debt-tops-italy.html .
Reinhart, C. and Reinhart, V. (2010). “After the Fall”. Paper presented at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Policy Symposium, Macroeconomic Policy: Post-Crisis and Risks Ahead at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on August 26-28, 2010. Downloaded on August 28, 2010 from the web: http://terpconnect.umd.edu/~creinhar/Papers/AftertheFall_August_27_NBER.pdf .
Reinhart, C. and Rogoff, K. (2010). This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Romer, Ch. (2010). “Now Isn’t the Time to Cut the Deficit”, New York Times October 24: BU5.
Simmel, G. (1978). The Philosophy of Money. London: Routledge.
Soros, G. (2009). The Crash of 2008 and What It Means. New York: Public Affairs.
Soros, G. (2010a). “The Real Danger to the Economy”, New York Review of Books November 11:16.
Soros, G. (2010b). "The Sovereign Debt Problem". Lecture given at Columbia University on October 5. Message from Georg Soros Foundation: 2009 GeorgeSoros.com .
Spiegelonline International (2009a). “Interview with Greek Finance Minister: ‘Punitive Measures are not Appropriate’”. December 14. Downloaded on August 24, 2010 from http://www. spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,666912,00.html .
Spiegelonline International (2009b). “No IMF Aid Expected for Greece: EU to Solve Financial Fiasco Alone”. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,669215,00.html#ref=rss .
Stiglitz, J. (2010). “To Choose Austerity is to Bet It All on the Confidence Fairy”, The Guardian, October 19. Downloaded on October 24, 2010: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2010/oct/19/no-confidence-fairy-for-austerity-britain .
Story, L., et al. (2010). “Wall St. Helped to Mask Debt Fueling Europe’s Crisis”, New York Times February 13. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/14/business/global/14debt.html .
Swedberg, R. (2010a). “The Structure of Confidence and the Collapse of Lehman Brothers”, en P. Hirsch and M. Lounsbury (eds.): Markets on Trial: The Economic Sociology of the U.S. Financial Crisis. This work appeared in Research in the Sociology of Organizations, Vol. 1: 67-110.
Swedberg, R. (2010b). “The Role of Confidence in Finance”. Working Paper, Center for the Study in Economy and Society, Cornell University, Department of Sociology. Also forthcoming in C. K. Knorr and A. Preda (eds.), Handbook of the Sociology of Finance. New York: Oxford University Press .
Trichet, J. C. (2010). “Interview with Trichet on May 19”, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung May 20. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://www.ecb.eu/press/key/date/2010/html/sp100521.en.html .
Walker, M.; Forelle, Ch. and Blackstone, B. (2010a). “Currency Union Teetering, 'Mr. Euro' Was Forced to Act”, Wall Street Journal September 26. Downloaded on September 27, 2010 from the web: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703904304575497871279626904.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hps_LEFTTopStories .
Walker, M.; Forelle, Ch. and Blackstone, B. (2010b). “On the Secret Committee to Save the Euro, a Dangerous Divide”, Wall Street Journal September 24. Downloaded from the web on September 25, 2010 from http://online.wsj.com /article/SB10001424052748703467004575464113605731560.html?mod=WSJEUROPE_hps_LEFTTopWhatNews .
Walker, M. and Gauthier-Villars, D. (2010). “The 'Opposite Twins' Clash Over the Future of Europe”, Wall Street Journal, July 2. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://online.wsj.com/article/NA_WSJ_PUB:SB10001424052748704853404575323142895146902.html .
Willis, A. and Pop, V. (2010). “Euro Area Races to Set up Crisis Fund”, EUobserver.com May 8. Downloaded on August 25, 2010 from the web: http://euobserver.com/9/30038.
Wittgenstein, L. (1968). Philosophical Investigations. New York: Macmillan Publishing Company.
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2016-04-09
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Swedberg, R. (2016). La crisis de la deuda soberana europea (2009-2010): el papel de la confianza y otros factores sociales. Barataria. Revista Castellano-Manchega De Ciencias Sociales, (12), 15–36. https://doi.org/10.20932/barataria.v0i12.127
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Los derechos de explotación se concretan en que Barataria. Revista Castellano-Manchega de Ciencias Sociales sea citada en todos los lugares en los que es citado cualquier artículo o reseña aquí publicado.
